Energies, Vol. 18, Pages 4656: Dynamic Behavior of a Glazing System and Its Impact on Thermal Comfort: Short-Term In Situ Assessment and Machine Learning-Based Predictive Modeling
Energies doi: 10.3390/en18174656
Authors:
Saman Abolghasemi Moghaddam
Nuno Simões
Michael Brett
Manuel Gameiro da Silva
Joana Prata
In the context of retrofitting existing buildings into nearly zero-energy buildings (NZEBs), in situ assessment methods have proven reliable for evaluating the performance of building components, including glazing systems. However, these methods are often time-consuming, intrusive to occupants, and disruptive to building operations. This study investigates the potential of a machine learning approach—multiple linear regression (MLR)—to predict the dynamic performance of an office building’s glazing system by analyzing surface temperature variations and their impact on nearby thermal comfort. The models were trained using in situ data collected over just two weeks—one in September and one in December—but were applied to predict the glazing performance on multiple other dates with diverse weather conditions. Results show that MLR predictions closely matched nighttime measurements, while some discrepancies occurred during the daytime. Nevertheless, the machine learning model achieved a daytime prediction accuracy of approximately 1.5 °C in terms of root mean square error (RMSE), which is lower than the values reported in previous studies. For thermal comfort evaluation, the MLR model identified the periods with thermal discomfort with an overall accuracy of approximately 92%. However, during periods when the difference between predicted and measured operative temperatures exceeded 1 °C, the thermal comfort predictions showed greater deviation from actual measurements. The study concludes by acknowledging its limitations and recommending a future approach that integrates machine learning with laboratory-based techniques (e.g., hot-box setups and solar simulators) and in situ measurements, together with a broader variety of glazing samples, to more effectively evaluate and enhance prediction accuracy, robustness, and generalizability.