arXiv:2603.03400v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Oil slicks are widely distributed in the ocean today, as a kind of coverage on sea surface, they became a part of ocean environment and affect their surroundings. A stochastic-dynamic theoretical model proposed in this work to illustrate how oil slicks affect global climate from micro scale relation between a piece of oil slick and sea surface temperature (SST) of its surrounding unit area, for SST is an important index of global climate. The model indicate that oil slicks make the sea surface warmer in the future, and the temperature series of the sea surface covered by oil slicks will have greater variance and fatter tails for its distribution and reduce SST predictability from a microcosmic perspective. Thus, more oil infused into the ocean makes the air-sea system more uncertain. These findings indicate that the present air-sea coupled models may lack of sufficient attention to oil slicks floating on the sea surface.